1999 Ontario Provincial Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction
Sudbury

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Candidates:
Liberal Party:
Rick Bartolucci MPP
Progressive Conservative Party:
Mila Wong
New Democratic Party:
Paul Chislett
Natural Law Party:
Bernard Fram
Independent:
Ed Pokonzie
Independent:
David Popescu

Incumbent (old riding composition):
Sudbury (100%):
Rick Bartolucci
Sudbury East (23%):
Shelley Martel

Member of Parliament:
Hon. Diane Marleau

Surrounding Ridings:
Nickel Belt

Misc:
Population: 89 692
Avg Household Income 46 226
Language (Home)
English 67 560
French 12 700
Submitted Information
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03/05/99 Email:
Rick Bartolucci is a publicity hound, has made no mistakes. Further, the new provincial riding votes Liberal federally even more solidly than the old provincial boundaries. Shelley Martel currently represents Sudbury East, and although she might be able to run in Sudbury proper after her current riding disappears, she knows she's lose. Instead, she'll run for the Nickel Belt seat and kick ass there. Bartolucci has nothing to fear.
04/08/99 A.S. Email: adma@interlog.com
The city of Sudbury's generally voted in the manner of France's "inner cities", as a middle-class island within a sea of raw socialism. This has meant Liberal MPs as far as the eye can see, and a current Liberal MPP who's in a good position for re-election. But until 1987 Sudbury was provincially held by the red Tory and current Sudbury mayor Jim Gordon, while the NDP's Sharon Murdock held sway during Bob Rae's term. PC does best in the south, NDP in the east, and the Franco-Catholic part of town along Notre Dame is a traditional PC black hole. If Blain Morin (or, for that matter, Shelley Martel) decided to challenge Rick Bartolucci, it might be a closer race; right now, though, it looks like Big Nickel'll stay Big Liberal.
05/31/99 C.R. Chapman Email:
I just visited the Sudbury riding this past weekend and the local paper has endorsed the PC candidate, former city councillor Mila Wong. I toured the southern and New Sudbury areas and found the signage ferociously close. Among working-class Suburians (my relatives and friends) there appears to be disdain for the vague Liberal policies and their leader who they regard as weak. However, when you talk turkey about welfare, taxation, education and health care, all seem to agree that the current government's agenda is necessary and should be maintained. While the Sudbury Star's endorsement of the last PC candidate in the area did not change his fortunes, I think that with the combination of weak opposition policies and a desire to get a member elected who will be in cabinet (all concede a Harris majority) should swing the vote towards Wong.

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Last Updated 1st June 1999

© 1999 Milton Chan, University of Waterloo
This site is maintained by Milton Chan