Canadian Federal Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction
Scarborough Southwest

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Liberal Party:
Tom Wappel
Canadian Alliance:
Nabil El-Khazen
Progressive Conservative Party:
Ellery Hollingsworth
New Democratic Party:
Dan Harris
Canadian Action Party:
Walter Aolari
Communist Party:
Dora Stewart

Tom Wappel

Previous Result:

Surrounding Ridings:
Beaches-East York
Don Valley East
Scarborough Centre
Scarborough East

Population: 101 551
Avg Household Income 45 630
Submitted Information
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15/10/00 A.S. Email:
If Scarborough's Grit caucus is (except for Derek Lee) generally lackluster, (divorced) social conservative Wappel's nutty as a fruitcake. Also, Scarb SW had the best '97 Reform result, thanks in part to star candidate Tom Ambas. A strong working-class NDP past makes Scarb SW oh-so-perfect Alliance snatch country, Reform division, these days--but one minor glitch: MPP Dan Newman's the "Walkerton minister"...
17/10/00 Steve Lloyd Email:
Both the NDP and the Alliance would have to pick up a bunch of support to unseat the liberal here. And with niegbouring ridings in Scarbourough up as high as 70% for thier Liberal MP's, Unless someone's got something better to offer I predict this seat will go liberal.
23/10/00 AL Email:
Tom Wappel is one of the most right wing MPs in the Liberal caucus and in the House of Commons, particularly on moral issues-- pro-life, anti-gay, anti-divorce (until he got one himself)... while this effectively undercuts the Canadian Alliance in this riding, moderate voters may be tempted to vote for Joe Clark's Tories just to get rid of Wappel *if* the Tories can find a strong, credible candidate.
30/10/00 Sandy Berger Email:
Oh, if only Tom Wappell would get defeated in the Liberal nomination fight, this race might start to make some sense. But, with his support from "radical anti-gay, anti-abortion, anti-feminism, anti-rock and roll, anti-just about everything that is remotely fun or about individual freedom" church groups and activists, Wappell can't be toppled. The real question is why he runs as a Liberal. I guess the answer is self=evident. So long as he does, he won't be defeated in this blue-collar "Johnny Lunchpail and Sally Apronstrings" riding (and home of Sandy Berger.) And he gets a platform to yell about baby-killers and locking up immigrants and such. Only in Scarborough. Heaven help us.
31/10/00 Christopher J. Currie
As far as I can tell, Tom Wappel runs as a Liberal because (i) he was a figurehead leader in the short-lived "Liberals For Life" group, an organization which attempted to take over a number of Liberal riding associations in the early '90s (and thereby gave Chretien an excuse to grab more executive power), and (ii) there's no reason for him to change now. Wappel is one of the few Liberals that I'd never vote for, but that probably won't make any difference as to the end result.
03/11/00 Peter M
The anti-life and anti-family forces that Sandy Berger alligns herself with deem it acceptable to allow freedom of thought and opinion only when it reflects themselves in a positive light. Tom Wappel reflects a constituency of the population that is entitled to be heard. Why is it that the feminist lobby and civil righters all pound their fists in rage when their ideas are compromised yet don't believe it appropriate to respect the opinions of those with divergent views. To the best of my knowledge the Trudeauesque Charter of Rights and Freedoms entrenched freedom of expression, assembly and religion. Unfortunately, those who are irreligious or counter-cultural seem it appropriate to somp all over those who support values contrary to theirs. Get off your horse. The Alliance believes in more freedom through less government. Long live the Alliance.

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Last Updated 3 November 2000

© 2000 Milton Chan
This site is maintained by Milton Chan