Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Hertford and Stortford

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Simon K. Speller
Conservative Party:
Mark M. Prisk
Liberal Democratic Party:
Dr. Madeleine H. Goldspink

Incumbent:
Bowen Wells

97 Result:
Simon Spellar
17,14231.4%
Bowen Wells
24,02744.0%
Michael Wood
9,67917.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,56176.03%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
9,52916.9%
31,94256.5%
14,40825.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,53980.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.4%
16-2412.9%
25-3924.2%
40-6528.2%
65 <15.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.4%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.5%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time67.4%
Part Time14.7%
Self Employed12.1%
Government Schemes0.4%
Unemployed5.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional10.2%
II - Managerial/Technical42.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)21.6%
IV - Partly Skilled8.9%
V - Unskilled2.7%

Misc:
Own Residence74.7%
Rent Residence23.2%
Own Car(s)81.4%
Submissions
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07/05/01 Pseudonym 'Disraeli' Email:
Likely to remain resoundly Tory on election night if 'tactical voting' failed to meet its objective here in May 1997.
11/05/01 Sean Fear Email:fear_sean@hotmail.com
Conservatives were comfortably ahead in both North Herts and East Herts in local elections. They shouldn't have much difficulty here.

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Last Updated 12 May 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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