Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Hitchin and Harpenden

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Alan T. Amos
Conservative Party:
Rt. Hon. Peter B. Lilley
Liberal Democratic Party:
John Murphy

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Peter Lilley

97 Result:
Rosemary Sanderson
17,36733.1%
Peter Lilley
24,03845.9%
Christopher White
10,51520.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,42777.99%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
9,71117.9%
33,40261.4%
10,76619.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,37781.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.2%
16-2412.1%
25-3921.5%
40-6528.8%
65 <17.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White95.5%
Black1.3%
Indian/Pakistani2.1%
Other non-white1.1%

Employment:
Full Time65.5%
Part Time16.1%
Self Employed12.0%
Government Schemes0.6%
Unemployed5.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional12.3%
II - Managerial/Technical45.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)16.9%
IV - Partly Skilled8.9%
V - Unskilled2.5%

Misc:
Own Residence73.4%
Rent Residence24.5%
Own Car(s)80.6%
Submissions
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23/04/01 NG Email:
Peter Lilley should have no particular concerns here, unless there is a major tactical switch from the Lib Dems to Labour (or vice versa), but given the 1992 and 1997 result, there seems no reason why this shouldn't be an easy Tory hold.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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