Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Newbury

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Stephen Billcliffe
Conservative Party:
Richard J.R. Benyon
Liberal Democratic Party:
David D. Rendel
UK Independence Party:
Delphine Gray-Fisk

Incumbent:
David Rendel

97 Result:
Paul Hannon
3,1075.5%
Richard Benyon
21,37037.8%
David Rendel
29,88752.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,47676.65%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
3,5846.1%
32,89855.9%
21,84137.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
58,86282.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.6%
16-2413.4%
25-3923.0%
40-6527.1%
65 <15.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.7%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time66.5%
Part Time14.7%
Self Employed13.3%
Government Schemes0.5%
Unemployed5.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional11.0%
II - Managerial/Technical37.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)22.3%
IV - Partly Skilled11.6%
V - Unskilled3.7%

Misc:
Own Residence70.3%
Rent Residence24.9%
Own Car(s)81.8%
Submissions
Submit Information here

21/04/01 NG Email:
Of his Lib Dem colleagues, David Rendel is probably one of the safer. With a reasonably comfortable majority, a tiny Labour vote (that actually fell in 1997 - indicating a good effort at squeezing the tactical vote) and effectively two terms as an attentive local MP (Rendel won the seat from the Tories in a sensational by-election in the mid 90s), he stands a very good chance of holding on this time round.
27/04/01 Smithy Email:smithy@come-on-england.co.uk
Although David Rendel has established a firm reputation as a hard working MP, the Conservatives are working hard to win back Newbury. Labour voters will need to vote tactically to ensure that William HAgue's Tories are beaten again.
11/05/01 Stephen Cardwell Email:
From what I can make out, David Rendell hardly has it in the bag. Benyon seems to be making substantial ground. This seat is very much too close to call.
16/05/01 CAG Email:
On Garden Posters it is clear that David Rendel has the lead on the Tory. LAbour are nowhere to be seen
23/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Newbury ought to have been one of those midterm Lib Dem freaks that'd bounce quickly back to Tory form come general election time; instead, David Rendel looks set on being an unlikely local institution, a "Simon Hughes of the Right", if you will. I can't see why the constituents'd even *bother* going back to Berks'n'Bucks'n'Wilts Tory form this time...

Submit Information here
Back to Chilterns Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 27 May 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster