Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
North East Bedfordshire

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Philip Ross
Conservative Party:
Alastair J.H. Burt
Liberal Democratic Party:
Dan Rogerson
UK Independence Party:
Rosalind Hill

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Sir Nicholas Lyell QC

97 Result:
John Lehal
16,42832.6%
Nicholas Lyell
22,31144.3%
Philip Bristow
7,17914.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,38877.83%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
10,47820.0%
31,08159.3%
9,70618.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,39284.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.3%
16-2412.0%
25-3922.3%
40-6529.1%
65 <16.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.6%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani0.5%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time65.4%
Part Time14.9%
Self Employed13.7%
Government Schemes0.5%
Unemployed5.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional10.6%
II - Managerial/Technical37.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.5%
IV - Partly Skilled11.0%
V - Unskilled3.6%

Misc:
Own Residence74.4%
Rent Residence22.9%
Own Car(s)82.8%
Submissions
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10/05/01 R Dox Email:
I think that Labour could win here, they have fought a very good campaign and are in touch with local issues, their candidate is quite well known and is well liked. He is prepared to speak his mind and doesn't always follow the party line (he is opposed to IR35). If enough Lib Dem voters vote tactically then we could a Labour MP here.
10/05/01 J Smith Email:
Unless the Liberal vote collapses completely, the Tories should be able to hold this seat. Labour is too far behind, based on last election results, in North East Bedfordshire to win the seat. Tory hold.
14/05/01 JJF Email:
Although Labour managed to increase it share of the vote in this area last time, it has not fared so well in local elections. As a labour activist, I would love to think that we could win here, but in reality, we won't.
29/05/01 S Jones Email:
Interesting this time round. The NE Beds seat is strong rural, and should once again be a safe tory seat, however Ross is a good candidate, and there is a chance of a tactical Lib Dem vote towards Labour.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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