Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
South West Bedfordshire

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Andrew J. Date
Conservative Party:
Andrew E.A. Selous
Liberal Democratic Party:
Martin J. Pantling
UK Independence Party:
Thomas Wise

Incumbent:
Sir David Madel

97 Result:
Andrew Date
21,40240.5%
David Madel
21,53440.7%
Stephen Owen
7,55914.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,86475.76%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
14,66025.7%
32,00056.2%
9,47516.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,95381.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.5%
16-2412.5%
25-3924.4%
40-6526.8%
65 <13.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.9%
Black0.6%
Indian/Pakistani0.8%
Other non-white0.7%

Employment:
Full Time67.3%
Part Time14.9%
Self Employed10.7%
Government Schemes0.6%
Unemployed6.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.3%
II - Managerial/Technical33.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.6%
IV - Partly Skilled11.3%
V - Unskilled3.6%

Misc:
Own Residence76.3%
Rent Residence22.4%
Own Car(s)78.4%
Submissions
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24/04/01 JR Email:
Labour aren't particularly targeting SW Beds, but should be advised to do so seeing as the Tory majority is only 132. Sir David Madel, a veteran Tory 'wet' (moderate), is standing down, and after thirty-one years' service must surely have accumulated some kind of personal vote. Even if his personal vote is only a few hundred, once that is taken out of the equation Labour start ahead. This is mentioned by today's Times as one of the few Tory-held seats which Central office thinks need shoring up and will receive visits by Hague's 'Battle Bus'.

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Last Updated 25 April 2001
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