Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Windsor

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Mark Muller
Conservative Party:
Hon. Michael St.J. Trend
Liberal Democratic Party:
P. Nick Pinfield
UK Independence Party:
John Fagan

Incumbent:
Michael Trend

97 Result:
Amanda Williams
9,28718.3%
Michael Trend
24,47648.2%
Chris Fox
14,55928.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,78173.46%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
6,64512.4%
30,13856.3%
15,58729.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,55479.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.5%
16-2412.2%
25-3923.7%
40-6528.9%
65 <16.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White95.3%
Black0.8%
Indian/Pakistani2.4%
Other non-white1.5%

Employment:
Full Time68.4%
Part Time13.1%
Self Employed12.7%
Government Schemes0.4%
Unemployed5.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional10.0%
II - Managerial/Technical42.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)20.0%
IV - Partly Skilled8.1%
V - Unskilled3.4%

Misc:
Own Residence72.0%
Rent Residence23.3%
Own Car(s)81.8%
Submissions
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21/04/01 NG Email:
Even in 1997, the Tories almost had a majority of the vote here and with the centre-left vote split, it's hard to see Windsor being anything but a Tory hold. Michael Trend will be buoyed by a good showing in the European and local elections.
11/05/01 MH Email:
I think this could be a lot closer than it looks. In '97 the Lib Dems ran the council, but now the Tories are in charge and are making deeply unpopular local decisions. If the Lib Dems can squeeze the Labour vote and attract one nation Tories this could be a shock Tory loss.

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Last Updated 12 May 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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