Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Wokingham

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Matthew Syed
Conservative Party:
Rt. Hon. John A. Redwood
Liberal Democratic Party:
Royce E. Longton
UK Independence Party:
Franklyn Carstairs
? Party:
Peter Owen/Monster Raving Loony Party

Incumbent:
Rt Hon John Redwood

97 Result:
Patricia Colling
8,42416.8%
John Redwood
25,08650.1%
Royce Longton
15,72131.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,10875.74%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
5,98711.3%
32,69261.7%
13,57525.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,95580.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.7%
16-2413.2%
25-3925.1%
40-6528.3%
65 <11.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.9%
Black0.6%
Indian/Pakistani1.2%
Other non-white1.3%

Employment:
Full Time69.3%
Part Time14.9%
Self Employed10.9%
Government Schemes0.6%
Unemployed4.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional13.4%
II - Managerial/Technical46.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)16.6%
IV - Partly Skilled6.2%
V - Unskilled1.7%

Misc:
Own Residence83.1%
Rent Residence13.3%
Own Car(s)88.4%
Submissions
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23/04/01 NG Email:
With just over 50% of the vote in 1997, John Redwood should be feeling rock-solid safe. Even a big tactical swing from Labour to the Lib Dems could not unseat him. However, it will be interesting to see whether the Lib Dems can improve on their 1997 showing, building on recent success in local elections (which saw them come very close to seizing control of Wokingham Council) and by squeezing the Labour vote. All the same, shouldn't give John Redwood too many nightmares ...
18/05/01 Smithy Email:smithy@come-on-england.co.uk
The Lib Dems seized control of the Council last year with 30 seats to each party and one Tory abstaining. Labour are nowhere to be seen. Dr Royce Longton may muster an upset in John Redwoods seat.

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Last Updated 20 May 2001
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