Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Great Yarmouth

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Anthony D. Wright
Conservative Party:
Charles Reynolds
Liberal Democratic Party:
UK Independence Party:
Albert Poole

Incumbent:
Tony Wright

97 Result:
Tony Wright
26,08453.4%
Michael Carttiss
17,41635.6%
Derek Wood
5,38111.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,88171.23%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
20,19638.0%
25,50547.9%
7,22513.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,21077.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.4%
16-2412.0%
25-3919.5%
40-6527.1%
65 <21.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.2%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.5%

Employment:
Full Time56.4%
Part Time16.8%
Self Employed13.4%
Government Schemes1.7%
Unemployed11.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional2.8%
II - Managerial/Technical27.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)32.1%
IV - Partly Skilled15.9%
V - Unskilled5.8%

Misc:
Own Residence69.0%
Rent Residence29.4%
Own Car(s)65.2%
Submissions
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12/05/01 J Smith Email:
Labour's result was huge last time. The Conservatives aren't doing well enough to win, and Labour has done a reasonable enough job to hold most of their seats. Based on the last electoral result, Labour should hold this one easily.
15/05/01 Sean Fear Email:fear_sean@hotmail.com
Too close to call. In theory, Labour should hold it quite comfortably. However, the Conservatives have performed very strongly in local elections, winning control of the local council in 2000, and outpolling Labour in the European elections. Given the depth of euroscepticism in port towns generally, the Conservatives should run Labour very close here.

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Last Updated 17 May 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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