Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Barking

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Margaret E. Hodge
Conservative Party:
Michael Weatherley
Liberal Democratic Party:
Anura Keppetipola

Incumbent:
Ms Margaret Hodge MBE

97 Result:
Margaret Hodge
21,69865.8%
Keith Langford
5,80217.6%
Mark Marsh
3,1289.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
32,96461.41%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
20,40952.2%
13,22933.9%
5,43613.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
39,07469.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.9%
16-2413.2%
25-3922.5%
40-6522.6%
65 <19.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White90.7%
Black2.7%
Indian/Pakistani5.1%
Other non-white1.5%

Employment:
Full Time64.7%
Part Time13.1%
Self Employed8.1%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed13.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional1.6%
II - Managerial/Technical19.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.7%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)34.5%
IV - Partly Skilled17.0%
V - Unskilled7.6%

Misc:
Own Residence45.7%
Rent Residence53.2%
Own Car(s)54.0%
Submissions
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30/04/01 JR Email:
a very similar seat to its next door neighbour, Dagenham. White working class voters in East London swung to the Tories in the eighties, but even then Labour held on here. Barking passed out of the danger zone in the 1994 byelection which Labour won with 77% of the vote.
03/06/01 Jx Email:johannapurdy@hotmail.com
Agreeable or not, for people in their mid 30's or younger within the borough, a labour controlled office is all they can probably remember. With a 'Blair babe' Margret Hodge proving herself as a compitent member of government it is unlikely that she will be unseated by the untested tory candidate, or obscure LibDem man. I am not regestering my intentions to vote for Margret Hodge, (that is between me and the voting box) but demographics, past elections, and an appreciation of the feelings of those around me leave me in no doubt as to my MP will be come Friday. Perhaps this is why none of the candidates have been doing much door to door work this time round.

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Last Updated 4 June 2001
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