Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Battersea

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
J. Martin Linton
Conservative Party:
Lucy Shersby
Liberal Democratic Party:
Siobhan M. Vitelli

Incumbent:
Martin Linton

97 Result:
Martin Linton
24,04750.7%
John Bowis
18,68739.4%
Paula Keaveney
3,4827.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,39770.82%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
21,63041.3%
26,41150.4%
3,7007.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,42777.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1616.4%
16-2414.9%
25-3933.3%
40-6521.5%
65 <13.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White78.9%
Black14.3%
Indian/Pakistani3.3%
Other non-white3.6%

Employment:
Full Time67.2%
Part Time8.1%
Self Employed11.2%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed12.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional10.3%
II - Managerial/Technical40.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)17.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)13.4%
IV - Partly Skilled10.3%
V - Unskilled4.1%

Misc:
Own Residence48.7%
Rent Residence49.7%
Own Car(s)53.9%
Submissions
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20/04/01 NG Email:
Although Labour in 1983, Battersea was a rather surprising Tory loss in 1997 if only because comprehensive social engineering by the Tory-controlled Wandsworth Council had attracted enough upwardly-mobile professionals to keep the area true blue in a string of local and general councils. Indeed since the shock loss of 1997, Battersea has continued to vote strongly Tory in local elections. However, Labours strength lies in the fact that the Tories led by a tiny margin of just 1.3% in the Euros (on a generally very bad night for Labour) and that Batterseas upwardly-mobile population have shown themselves to prefer winners to losers. Labour will probably hold on this time round as long as the Tories dont pick up substantially.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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