Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Cities of London and Westminster

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Michael D. Katz
Conservative Party:
Mark C. Field
Liberal Democratic Party:
Michael C. Horwood
UK Independence Party:
Colin R. Merton

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Peter Brooke

97 Result:
Kate Green
14,10035.1%
Peter Brooke
18,98147.3%
Michael Dumigan
4,93312.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
40,15558.16%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
10,36824.1%
25,51259.3%
6,07714.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,00865.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1611.1%
16-2416.1%
25-3927.3%
40-6527.7%
65 <17.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White82.3%
Black4.8%
Indian/Pakistani4.3%
Other non-white8.6%

Employment:
Full Time66.4%
Part Time7.3%
Self Employed14.0%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed11.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional12.4%
II - Managerial/Technical43.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)10.0%
IV - Partly Skilled8.2%
V - Unskilled4.7%

Misc:
Own Residence34.0%
Rent Residence59.3%
Own Car(s)42.7%
Submissions
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09/04/01 CM
Stayed Tory after most ridings in London went Labour in '97. Britain's financial centre will stay Tory this time around.
23/05/01 Alastair Matlock Email:
This constituency is the seat of Parliament, home to many of London's best known tourist attractions such as Buckingham Palace, and Britain's financial centre as mentioned before. Peter Brooke has represented this seat at Westminster in the past though he is standing down at this election. Traditional Tory stronghold. The Tories will win here.
24/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
This may be far-fetched, but there's an outside chance that this riding will *not* stay Tory. First, unlike its ultra-safe Tory neighbour Kensington & Chelsea, L&W almost landed on the brink of technical C-Lab marginality in '97. Second, Peter Brooke is standing down, which may further whittle down the Tory advantage, and still further whittling may be done by the contentiously hard-right credentials of his designated replacement Mark Field. And finally, for some odd stylish reason I can picture London's touristic dead centre delivering, anyway, a better-than-usual Blairward swing in 2001. Perhaps this is the ultimate sleeper race to monitor...

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Last Updated 27 May 2001
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