Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Dagenham

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Jon Cruddas
Conservative Party:
Michael J. White
Liberal Democratic Party:
Adrian J. Gee-Turner
UK Independence Party:
Peter Compobassi

Incumbent:
Ms Judith Church

97 Result:
Judith Church
23,75965.7%
James Fairrie
6,70518.5%
Tom Dobrashian
2,7047.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
36,16361.74%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
22,49951.7%
16,05236.9%
4,99211.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,54369.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.3%
16-2412.2%
25-3922.7%
40-6523.7%
65 <21.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White95.3%
Black2.0%
Indian/Pakistani1.7%
Other non-white1.0%

Employment:
Full Time65.4%
Part Time13.6%
Self Employed9.1%
Government Schemes0.8%
Unemployed11.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional1.7%
II - Managerial/Technical15.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)18.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)36.2%
IV - Partly Skilled18.8%
V - Unskilled7.1%

Misc:
Own Residence57.0%
Rent Residence42.0%
Own Car(s)59.7%
Submissions
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30/04/01 JR Email:
One of Labour's traditional strongholds - site of the biggest public housing estate in Western Europe and a Ford car factory (although that's closing next year - look for a drop in Labour's majority.) John Parker, Labour MP for Dagenham from 1945 to 1983, once ran on the slogan "give me a forty thousand majority". The seat swung to the Tories in the eighties as part of a protest against the hard left in London Labour, but while nearby seats like Thurrock and Walthamstow fell, Labour held Dagenham in 1987 (though only by about 3500), which was a little red island in a deep blue Tory sea.

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Last Updated 1 May 2001
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