Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
East Ham

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Stephen C. Timms
Conservative Party:
Peter J. Campbell
Liberal Democratic Party:
Bridget C. Fox

Incumbent:
Stephen Timms

97 Result:
Stephen Timms
25,77964.6%
Angela Bray
6,42116.1%
Mike Sole
2,5996.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
39,88960.81%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,21254.0%
13,75132.0%
6,04914.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,01261.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1625.4%
16-2414.0%
25-3925.9%
40-6520.8%
65 <13.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White51.5%
Black11.7%
Indian/Pakistani31.0%
Other non-white5.8%

Employment:
Full Time62.5%
Part Time8.5%
Self Employed8.3%
Government Schemes1.8%
Unemployed18.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.2%
II - Managerial/Technical21.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)17.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.2%
IV - Partly Skilled18.2%
V - Unskilled6.0%

Misc:
Own Residence59.7%
Rent Residence39.3%
Own Car(s)51.0%
Submissions
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20/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
An East End Labour stronghold that stayed Labour even in the dark days of the eighties when London Labour was under loony left control. Labour won every seat on Newham Council in 1998. Labour outpolled the Tories by 2-and-a-half to one even in Euro election '99 but has had a few close shaves in Council byelections since. About 45% ethnic minority. Junior Treasury Minister Stephen Timms will win big.

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Last Updated 20 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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