Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Harrow East

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Anthony J. McNulty
Conservative Party:
Peter Wilding
Liberal Democratic Party:
George Kershaw

Incumbent:
Tony McNulty

97 Result:
Tony McNulty
29,92752.5%
Hugh Dykes
20,18935.4%
Baldev Sharma
4,6978.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,98571.37%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
20,21933.8%
31,62452.9%
6,47110.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,73877.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.3%
16-2413.2%
25-3923.6%
40-6525.6%
65 <17.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White70.4%
Black4.2%
Indian/Pakistani20.6%
Other non-white4.9%

Employment:
Full Time64.0%
Part Time12.3%
Self Employed14.6%
Government Schemes0.8%
Unemployed8.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional9.2%
II - Managerial/Technical35.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)18.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)23.1%
IV - Partly Skilled8.9%
V - Unskilled2.7%

Misc:
Own Residence77.4%
Rent Residence21.1%
Own Car(s)72.5%
Submissions
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03/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Not as outre a pickup as Harrow West, and the way things are going in this freakish swath of Red Metroland, maybe I *should* make this a Labour prediction...
03/06/01 KF Email:
Labour will hold on to Harrow East easily. Although it was a safe Tory seat until 1997, Labour's majority is big enough to make the seat safe for them at least this time around.

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Last Updated 4 June 2001
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