Election Profile:
Candidates:
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Labour Party:
Gisela G. Stuart |
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Conservative Party:
Nigel Hastilow |
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Liberal Democratic Party:
Nicola Davies |
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Green Party:
Peter Beck |
Incumbent: |
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Ms Gisela Stuart |
97 Result: |
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Gisela Stuart
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Andrew Marschall
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Jock Gallagher
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| Total Vote Count / Turnout |
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92 Result: (Redistributed) |
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| Total Vote Count / Turnout |
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Demographic Profile:
| Age: |
| < 16 | 18.8% |
| 16-24 | 13.0% |
| 25-39 | 21.9% |
| 40-65 | 25.3% |
| 65 < | 20.9% |
Ethnic Origin: |
| White | 89.0% |
| Black | 4.3% |
| Indian/Pakistani | 4.2% |
| Other non-white | 2.5% |
Employment: |
| Full Time | 63.8% |
| Part Time | 13.2% |
| Self Employed | 9.4% |
| Government Schemes | 1.7% |
| Unemployed | 11.8% |
Household SEG: |
| I - Professional | 13.6% |
| II - Managerial/Technical | 30.1% |
| III - Skilled (non-manual) | 12.0% |
| IIIM - Skilled (manual) | 23.3% |
| IV - Partly Skilled | 12.4% |
| V - Unskilled | 3.8% |
Misc: |
| Own Residence | 55.4% |
| Rent Residence | 43.0% |
| Own Car(s) | 57.2% |
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Submissions
Submit Information here
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12/04/01 |
EQFBrown |
Email: edward.brown@bnc.ox.ac.uk |
| The local electoral performance of the Conservatives in this seat since the election of 1997 has been very impressive: on each occasion (1998,1999,2000) they have outpolled Labour by ever increasing levels and in 2000 led by 20%. The seat has only 4 wards, 3 of which are stable upper middle class communities, however, the 4th appears to contain the Birmingham version of Essex Man, and the ward has moved from a tight contest in 1998, to the Tories winning about 70% in 1999 and 2000. The swing from Labour to the Tories has been large in this region, with other Birmingham seats showing similar results. Although the Labour MP has what would appear a comfortable majority, and the Tory candidate is pessimistic, I think a Tory gain the most likely result. |
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21/05/01 |
ib |
Email: |
| Too close to call, but probably leaning to Labour. Local election results can be discounted as Birmingham notoriously "does different". Sitting MP is seen as popular and a high-flier which will help her, but the Tory candidate is fighting hard. As for the comment about three upper-middle class wards, this must be a very different seat to the Birmingham, Edgbaston that I know. |
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22/05/01 |
Alastair Matlock |
Email: |
| Edgbaston had never been other than Conservative before 1997. Very deep Tory roots here. Mrs Stuart is a formidable MP and candidate however. I think it will be close but I hope for a Conservative gain here. |
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05/06/01 |
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Email:dadge@hotmail.com |
| Give over. Labour should hold on here easily. The Tories'll need more than 30% in the polls to get this back. Here's to German MPs! |
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