Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Birmingham, Selly Oak

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Dr. Lynne M. Jones
Conservative Party:
Kenneth G. Hardeman
Liberal Democratic Party:
David Osborne
Green Party:
Barney Smith
UK Independence Party:
Beryl Williams

Incumbent:
Dr Lynne Jones

97 Result:
Lynne Jones
28,12155.6%
Graham Greene
14,03327.8%
David Osborne
6,12112.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,55070.16%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,43046.0%
23,37042.3%
5,67910.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,27675.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.1%
16-2414.3%
25-3922.9%
40-6523.9%
65 <18.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White88.3%
Black3.0%
Indian/Pakistani6.5%
Other non-white2.2%

Employment:
Full Time65.7%
Part Time13.3%
Self Employed8.3%
Government Schemes1.5%
Unemployed11.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional10.2%
II - Managerial/Technical31.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.7%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)22.2%
IV - Partly Skilled14.2%
V - Unskilled4.3%

Misc:
Own Residence61.5%
Rent Residence37.2%
Own Car(s)60.0%
Submissions
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21/05/01 LB Email:
Selly Oak is in south Birmingham and includes areas full of students near the University as well as peripheral estates. Labour gained the seat in 1992 and won it well in 1997, and areas like this - mixed, educated, relatively affluent, big city - have been going sour on the Tories for decades (Labour won Selly Oak in October 1974, and 1992, but not in the landslide victory of 1966). Lynne Jones is a left wing MP and not 'New Labour'.

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Last Updated 21 May 2001
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