Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Bromsgrove

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Peter M. McDonald
Conservative Party:
Julie Kirkbride
Liberal Democratic Party:
Margaret Rowley
UK Independence Party:
Ian Gregory

Incumbent:
Miss Julie Kirkbride

97 Result:
Peter McDonald
19,72537.8%
Julie Kirkbride
24,62047.2%
Jennette Davy
6,20011.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,20777.07%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
18,02130.7%
31,77354.1%
8,11813.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
58,77082.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.8%
16-2412.0%
25-3920.3%
40-6530.3%
65 <17.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.5%
Black0.6%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.5%

Employment:
Full Time63.6%
Part Time17.0%
Self Employed12.5%
Government Schemes0.8%
Unemployed6.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.9%
II - Managerial/Technical37.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.4%
IV - Partly Skilled12.4%
V - Unskilled3.6%

Misc:
Own Residence77.0%
Rent Residence21.5%
Own Car(s)80.3%
Submissions
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03/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
A Tory keeper on a below-average swing in 1997, not least because Julie Kirkbride makes for such a nice steely young-Thatcherite foil to the garden-variety Blair Babe. If she could survive *that*, she can survive again, not least because Labour's distracted by having to ward off the Kidderminster hospital loonies next door...

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Last Updated 4 June 2001
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