Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Leicester East

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
N. Keith A.S. Vaz
Conservative Party:
John Mugglestone
Liberal Democratic Party:
Harpinder Athwal

Incumbent:
Keith Vaz

97 Result:
Keith Vaz
29,08365.5%
Simon Milton
10,66124.0%
Jay Matabudul
3,1057.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
44,40269.37%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
28,12356.3%
16,80733.7%
4,0438.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,92077.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.8%
16-2412.6%
25-3922.1%
40-6523.0%
65 <19.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White62.0%
Black2.3%
Indian/Pakistani33.5%
Other non-white2.1%

Employment:
Full Time64.6%
Part Time12.1%
Self Employed9.2%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed12.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.7%
II - Managerial/Technical18.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)34.8%
IV - Partly Skilled21.5%
V - Unskilled5.7%

Misc:
Own Residence62.5%
Rent Residence36.4%
Own Car(s)57.1%
Submissions
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03/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Eerie coincidence that the weekend before the election, I still see no prediction for Keith "Disappearing Act" Vaz. No matter. His chance of returning looks so boringly good, no wonder the predictors have disappeared...
05/06/01 Disraeli Email:
This constituency may remain staunchly Labour, but I would not be surprised if their majority is severely slashed.

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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