Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Sleaford and North Hykeham

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Elizabeth A. Donnelly
Conservative Party:
Rt. Hon. Douglas M. Hogg
Liberal Democratic Party:
Robert Arbon
UK Independence Party:
Michael Ward-Barrow

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Douglas Hogg QC

97 Result:
Sean Harriss
18,23534.3%
Douglas Hogg
23,35843.9%
John Marriott
8,06315.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,17674.39%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
11,69821.9%
31,18058.4%
8,87316.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,35480.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.5%
16-2412.0%
25-3919.5%
40-6529.6%
65 <20.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time62.7%
Part Time16.5%
Self Employed13.9%
Government Schemes1.4%
Unemployed5.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.8%
II - Managerial/Technical32.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)10.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.3%
IV - Partly Skilled13.1%
V - Unskilled4.3%

Misc:
Own Residence72.9%
Rent Residence21.5%
Own Car(s)80.6%
Submissions
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05/06/01 Christopher J. Currie Email:8cjc1@qlink.queensu.ca
I *think* that my prediction for this safe Tory seat will result in all of the gaps on this prediction website being filled in.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
A typical mind-your-own-business rural Lincolnshire Tory seat--typical in that the Tories tallied high 50s in '92, low 40s in '97--and held by a former Minister of Agriculture, to boot The best that can be said for Labour: the seat just eked within marginality in '97.

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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