Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Stafford

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
David J. Kidney
Conservative Party:
Philip Cochrane
Liberal Democratic Party:
UK Independence Party:
Richard Bradford

Incumbent:
David Kidney

97 Result:
David Kidney
24,60647.5%
David Cameron
20,29239.2%
Pam Hornby
5,48010.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,77276.64%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
19,22934.9%
26,46448.1%
9,09716.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,04782.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.6%
16-2413.3%
25-3921.3%
40-6528.7%
65 <17.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.8%
Black0.8%
Indian/Pakistani0.8%
Other non-white0.7%

Employment:
Full Time66.9%
Part Time16.3%
Self Employed9.3%
Government Schemes1.4%
Unemployed6.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.0%
II - Managerial/Technical33.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.9%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)23.7%
IV - Partly Skilled15.1%
V - Unskilled3.5%

Misc:
Own Residence73.1%
Rent Residence24.4%
Own Car(s)74.8%
Submissions
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05/06/01 Christopher J. Currie Email:8cjc1@qlink.queensu.ca
It wouldn't take much of a swing for the Tories to take this one back, but doubt they'll get it.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Redistribution perceptibly "Labourized" Stafford in 1997, though Kidney didn't gain by that great a margin. All things considered, it feels as if it might be a hold (and if devastating Tory polls hold on Election Day, it'd feel as if it *will* be a hold), but don't count your chickens...

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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