Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Stone

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
John Palfreyman
Conservative Party:
William N.P. Cash
Liberal Democratic Party:

Incumbent:
William Cash

97 Result:
John Wakefield
21,04139.6%
William Cash
24,85946.8%
Barry Stamp
6,39212.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,07477.77%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
16,07728.9%
31,15656.0%
7,55413.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,64183.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.0%
16-2411.9%
25-3919.6%
40-6531.0%
65 <18.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.5%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.2%

Employment:
Full Time63.2%
Part Time16.1%
Self Employed14.5%
Government Schemes1.2%
Unemployed5.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.7%
II - Managerial/Technical39.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.0%
IV - Partly Skilled12.7%
V - Unskilled2.6%

Misc:
Own Residence80.1%
Rent Residence17.4%
Own Car(s)82.0%
Submissions
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05/06/01 Christopher J. Currie Email:8cjc1@qlink.queensu.ca
The Tories have the edge here, but an increased trend towards strategic voting could make this winnable for Labour. Not impossible, at least.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
All the redrawing in Staffordshire allowed for this "ultra-safe" new Tory intersticial-countryside seat--and still, Labour came within 7 points of a gain in '97. Thus, as in neighbouring Stafford, but from the opposite political direction, I'm hedging rather than predicting. Though to be sure, losing Stone'll hit the Tories like a rock...

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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