Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Stourbridge

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Debra A. Shipley
Conservative Party:
Stephen Eyre
Liberal Democratic Party:
L.A. Christopher Bramall
UK Independence Party:
John Knotts

Incumbent:
Ms Debra Shipley

97 Result:
Debra Shipley
23,45247.2%
Warren Hawksley
17,80735.8%
Chris Bramall
7,12314.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,70176.50%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
19,51938.3%
24,90748.8%
6,01111.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,00377.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.0%
16-2412.7%
25-3922.6%
40-6528.1%
65 <16.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.8%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani2.4%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time65.0%
Part Time16.1%
Self Employed10.1%
Government Schemes1.1%
Unemployed7.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.6%
II - Managerial/Technical30.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.6%
IV - Partly Skilled12.9%
V - Unskilled3.4%

Misc:
Own Residence73.8%
Rent Residence25.3%
Own Car(s)73.5%
Submissions
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05/06/01 Christopher J. Currie Email:8cjc1@qlink.queensu.ca
I suppose that this is still technically a marginal, but I imagine that the '97 results will basically be repeated this time.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
An erstwhile Tory-inclined SW corner for Greater Birmingham; while Labour earned a fair cushion in '97, there are Edgbastonian murmurs of determined Tory takeback targeting hereabouts. (An above-average-for-the-area 1997 Lib Dem figure also alludes to the latent Toryism, much as it does in London seats such as Harrow West and Wimbledon.) The prospect of a double-barrelled Blair Babe takedown hereabouts (Debra Shipley here, Gisela Stuart in Edgbaston--it'd be triple-barreled if not for Jenny Jones' premature withdrawal from Wolverhampton SW) must have Tory Brummies feeling covetous, even if in a faint-hope sort of way...

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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