Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Hartlepool

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Rt. Hon. Peter B. Mandelson
Conservative Party:
Gus Robinson
Liberal Democratic Party:
Nigel Boddy
Independent:
Arthur Scargill

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Peter Mandelson

97 Result:
Peter Mandelson
26,99760.7%
Michael Horsley
9,48921.3%
Reg Clark
6,24814.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
44,45265.65%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
26,81651.9%
18,03434.9%
6,86013.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,71075.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.8%
16-2412.5%
25-3921.5%
40-6526.7%
65 <17.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.4%
Other non-white0.2%

Employment:
Full Time57.7%
Part Time16.6%
Self Employed6.5%
Government Schemes3.7%
Unemployed15.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.9%
II - Managerial/Technical21.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)8.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)34.0%
IV - Partly Skilled19.1%
V - Unskilled6.9%

Misc:
Own Residence63.1%
Rent Residence35.8%
Own Car(s)52.5%
Submissions
Submit Information here

12/04/01 NG Email:
A fascinating contest, further complicated by the recent resignation of Peter Mandelson. Given his majority at the last election, he should just about scrape through but there could be a significant swing against him, even though he was effectively cleared of wrongdoing. The Tories are a poor second here and will be looking to win some votes on the back of Mandelson's sleaze factor. However, the Lib Dems won the last set of local elections (winning a greater proportion of the vote than Labour). Mandelson will probably win but it will be interesting to see who ends up coming second.

Submit Information here
Back to Northern Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 12 April 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster