Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
North Tyneside

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Rt. Hon. Stephen J. Byers
Conservative Party:
Mark Ruffell
Liberal Democratic Party:
Simon Reed
Socialist Alliance:
Peter Burnett
Independent:
W. Kenneth Capstick

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Stephen Byers

97 Result:
Stephen Byers
32,81072.7%
Michael McIntyre
6,16713.7%
Tommy Mulvenna
4,76210.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
45,12167.90%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
30,76461.0%
13,13026.0%
6,58013.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,47473.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.3%
16-2411.9%
25-3921.8%
40-6526.2%
65 <19.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time61.5%
Part Time18.0%
Self Employed5.6%
Government Schemes2.3%
Unemployed12.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.5%
II - Managerial/Technical20.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)34.6%
IV - Partly Skilled16.4%
V - Unskilled8.0%

Misc:
Own Residence49.9%
Rent Residence49.1%
Own Car(s)49.1%
Submissions
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02/05/01 JR Email:
This is one of the top ten safe Labour seats and will return Stephen Byers without fuss. Trade and Industry Secretary Byers is seen by some as representing the essence of new Labour - a 1980s left-winger who became a pro-business technocrat and all round 'safe pair of hands'. He's part of the large North-Eastern contingent in the Cabinet (the PM, Alan Milburn, Byers, Nick Brown, Mo Mowlam). He can expect a good few more years in Cabinet without ever having to worry about his seat here.

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Last Updated 3 May 2001
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