Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Bury North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
David M. Chaytor
Conservative Party:
John Walsh
Liberal Democratic Party:
Brynle Hackley

Incumbent:
David Chaytor

97 Result:
David Chaytor
28,52351.8%
Alistair Burt
20,65737.5%
Neville Kenyon
4,5368.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,05378.07%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
24,50241.6%
29,26649.7%
5,0108.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
58,94183.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.0%
16-2412.7%
25-3921.4%
40-6528.2%
65 <16.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White95.8%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani3.1%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time65.3%
Part Time15.6%
Self Employed11.1%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed7.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.9%
II - Managerial/Technical32.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)27.9%
IV - Partly Skilled12.6%
V - Unskilled4.3%

Misc:
Own Residence78.7%
Rent Residence20.5%
Own Car(s)69.1%
Submissions
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01/06/01 JR Email:
Bury North is a bellwether marginal, always going whichever way the wind blows. David Chaytor, who ousted the moderate Tory junior Social Security Minister Alastair Burt in 1997, looks well placed to hold on.

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Last Updated 1 June 2001
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