Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Eddisbury

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Bill Eyres
Conservative Party:
Stephen R. O'Brien
Liberal Democratic Party:
Paul D. Roberts
UK Independence Party:
David J.E. Carson

Incumbent:
Stephen O'Brien

97 Result:
Margaret Hanson
19,84240.1%
Alistair Goodlad
21,02742.5%
David Reaper
6,54013.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,45075.78%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
15,79831.1%
26,79452.7%
7,55314.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,84481.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.8%
16-2412.8%
25-3920.3%
40-6529.6%
65 <16.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time62.2%
Part Time14.9%
Self Employed14.8%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed7.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.5%
II - Managerial/Technical37.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)9.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.0%
IV - Partly Skilled15.7%
V - Unskilled3.2%

Misc:
Own Residence73.6%
Rent Residence22.8%
Own Car(s)80.9%
Submissions
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22/04/01 JR Email:
A very starkly divided seat - containing both Conservative countryside and the largely working class town of Winsford, which grew rapidly in the sixties to acommodate 'overspill' population from Liverpool and Manchester. Winsford is rock solid Labour, with almost a full slate of Labour councillors (I think there are two LibDems), but is usually outvoted by the Tory villages. Labour ran a huge campaign in the 1999 byelection which included a visit by the Prime Minister (very unusual in a British byelection), and had a strong local candidate in Margaret Hanson (the Tories had parachuted in a candidate from Sussex). Nevertheless the Tories won and in all probability will do so again.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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