Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Ellesmere Port and Neston

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Andrew P. Miller
Conservative Party:
Gareth Williams
Liberal Democratic Party:
Stuart Kelly
UK Independence Party:
T. Collins

Incumbent:
Andrew Miller

97 Result:
Andrew Miller
31,31059.6%
Lynn Turnbull
15,27429.1%
Joanna Pemberton
4,6738.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,56277.79%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
26,83647.8%
23,60342.1%
5,0128.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,09983.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.6%
16-2412.6%
25-3922.0%
40-6527.9%
65 <16.0%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time64.5%
Part Time17.2%
Self Employed7.7%
Government Schemes1.8%
Unemployed8.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.0%
II - Managerial/Technical25.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)28.1%
IV - Partly Skilled19.8%
V - Unskilled4.9%

Misc:
Own Residence71.7%
Rent Residence27.4%
Own Car(s)73.5%
Submissions
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24/04/01 JR Email:
a divided seat - Ellesmere Port is a working class Labour town that looks towards Liverpool, whereas the 'Neston' part is mostly Tory countryside and commuter territory. Andrew Miller's majority is safe but could be trimmed by a low turnout in the 'Port itself. The Stanlow oil refinery - where the September fuel blockades started - is in the seat.

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Last Updated 25 April 2001
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