Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Manchester, Blackley

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Graham E. Stringer
Conservative Party:
Lance Stanbury
Liberal Democratic Party:
Gary Riding
Socialist Alliance:
Karen Reissman

Incumbent:
Graham Stringer

97 Result:
Graham Stringer
25,04270.0%
Stephen Barclay
5,45415.3%
Simon Wheale
3,93711.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
35,75657.46%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
26,97762.2%
11,28526.0%
4,78611.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,39066.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1623.2%
16-2413.1%
25-3920.8%
40-6523.4%
65 <19.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White90.6%
Black2.4%
Indian/Pakistani4.9%
Other non-white2.1%

Employment:
Full Time57.6%
Part Time13.9%
Self Employed7.7%
Government Schemes1.6%
Unemployed19.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.0%
II - Managerial/Technical19.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.9%
IV - Partly Skilled20.5%
V - Unskilled8.1%

Misc:
Own Residence45.6%
Rent Residence53.1%
Own Car(s)41.6%
Submissions
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23/04/01 NG Email:
With a massive 20,000 majority, it's hard to see Labour losing here. At a local level, the Tories have almost completely disappeared and it is the Lib Dems who have emerged as the major challengers. It will be interesting to see if there is any sign of this trend on general election night.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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