Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Manchester, Central

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Antony J. Lloyd
Conservative Party:
Aaron J. Powell
Liberal Democratic Party:
Phylip A.D. Hobson
Green Party:
Vanessa Hall

Incumbent:
Tony Lloyd

97 Result:
Tony Lloyd
23,80371.0%
Simon McIlwaine
3,96411.8%
Alison Firth
4,12112.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
33,53752.55%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
27,00969.1%
7,58119.4%
4,10510.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
39,06558.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1623.7%
16-2415.2%
25-3922.7%
40-6521.9%
65 <16.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White80.8%
Black10.8%
Indian/Pakistani4.7%
Other non-white3.7%

Employment:
Full Time52.1%
Part Time12.1%
Self Employed6.9%
Government Schemes2.3%
Unemployed26.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.2%
II - Managerial/Technical19.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)22.5%
IV - Partly Skilled20.3%
V - Unskilled9.7%

Misc:
Own Residence27.2%
Rent Residence71.1%
Own Car(s)31.9%
Submissions
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23/04/01 NG Email:
With a massive 19,000 majority, it's hard to see Labour losing here. At a local level, the Tories have almost completely disappeared and it is the Lib Dems who have emerged as the major challengers. It will be interesting to see if there is any sign of this trend on general election night.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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