Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Rossendale and Darwen

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Janet Anderson
Conservative Party:
George Lee
Liberal Democratic Party:
Brian F. Dunning

Incumbent:
Janet Anderson

97 Result:
Janet Anderson
27,47053.6%
Tricia Buzzard
16,52132.3%
Brian Dunning
5,43510.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,20873.42%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,04443.6%
24,99543.5%
6,79811.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,48981.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.4%
16-2412.5%
25-3922.1%
40-6526.8%
65 <17.2%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.4%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani1.1%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time65.8%
Part Time13.6%
Self Employed12.3%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed7.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.0%
II - Managerial/Technical30.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)33.3%
IV - Partly Skilled13.8%
V - Unskilled3.5%

Misc:
Own Residence76.8%
Rent Residence22.2%
Own Car(s)67.4%
Submissions
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05/05/01 JR Email:
Labour did horrifically badly in last year's local elections across the Pennine region (East Lancashire/West Yorkshire), and lost control here in Rossendale. Janet Anderson first won the seat in 1992, aided by the Tories' Poll Tax, which hit people very hard in an area with many terraced houses and generally low property values (and which had therefore paid relatively low rates). She only won by 120 that year, and her majority in 97 was smaller than in several first-time Labour seats. Janet Anderson is an energetic campaigner, and the expected comfortable Labour victory should carry her to safety here. Nevertheless it will be a close call.

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Last Updated 7 May 2001
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