Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Warrington North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Helen M. Jones
Conservative Party:
James Usher
Liberal Democratic Party:
Roy Smith

Incumbent:
Helen Jones

97 Result:
Helen Jones
31,82762.1%
Ray Lacey
12,30024.0%
Ian Greenhalgh
5,30810.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,25170.50%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
29,62653.2%
19,42034.9%
6,30711.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,71976.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.0%
16-2412.7%
25-3923.9%
40-6525.6%
65 <15.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.7%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.6%
Other non-white0.5%

Employment:
Full Time65.4%
Part Time16.4%
Self Employed7.6%
Government Schemes1.5%
Unemployed9.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.5%
II - Managerial/Technical28.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.9%
IV - Partly Skilled14.8%
V - Unskilled4.0%

Misc:
Own Residence68.2%
Rent Residence31.0%
Own Car(s)70.2%
Submissions
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13/05/01 JR Email:
A rock solid Labour seat. In 1981, when the SDP-Liberal Alliance was sweeping all before it and Liberal leader David Steel was telling his party conference to go home and prepare for Government, Labour managed to hold this seat even though Roy Jenkins, the former Chancellor of the Exchequer and President of the European Commission, was the SDP candidate.

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Last Updated 14 May2001
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