Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Wirral South

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
J.K. Coleman
Conservative Party:
Anthony Millard
Liberal Democratic Party:
Philip N. Gilchrist
UK Independence Party:
James Bradshaw

Incumbent:
Ben Chapman

97 Result:
Ben Chapman
24,49950.9%
Les Byrom
17,49536.4%
Phil Gilchrist
5,01810.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,09581.01%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
17,38234.6%
25,55050.8%
6,57213.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,26980.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.4%
16-2412.0%
25-3918.8%
40-6529.4%
65 <20.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.1%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time63.7%
Part Time18.3%
Self Employed8.7%
Government Schemes1.7%
Unemployed7.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional9.5%
II - Managerial/Technical35.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.6%
IV - Partly Skilled11.7%
V - Unskilled2.7%

Misc:
Own Residence81.2%
Rent Residence17.7%
Own Car(s)74.4%
Submissions
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29/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Funny how a decade ago, all of the Wirral Peninsula outside of Birkenhead was [gasp] Tory. This Unilever-country seat was the scene of Labour's final-drumroll-before-the-Big-Kahuna byelection gain in Feb 1997, and Ben Chapman's probably earned a fairly soft cushion; still, the Tories can't declare Wirral South a total loss. At least [ahem] not in the long term...

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Last Updated 29 May 2001
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