Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Dunfermline East

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Rt. Hon. J. Gordon Brown
Conservative Party:
Stuart Randall
Liberal Democratic Party:
John Mainland
Scottish Nationalist Party:
John Mellon
Scottish Socialist Party:
Andrew Jackson

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Gordon Brown

97 Result:
Gordon Brown
24,44166.8%
Iain Mitchell
3,65610.0%
Jim Tolson
2,1645.9%
John Ramage
569015.55%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
36,58370.25%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,96662.9%
6,21116.3%
2,3296.1%
5,61914.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
38,12575.2%

Demographic Profile:

Employment:
Unemployed13.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.7%
II - Managerial/Technical20.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)19.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.3%
IV - Partly Skilled19.8%
V - Unskilled8.1%

Misc:
Own Residence48.5%
Rent Residence51.5%
Submissions
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09/04/01 EP Email:
With his profile and electoral history, Gordon Brown will be re-elected without a doubt. The question is, what kind of role will he play in the next cabinet, whether he will manage to beat bad-boy-Mandelson in the power struggle.

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Last Updated 9 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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