Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Edinburgh West

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Elspeth Alexandra
Conservative Party:
Iain Whyte
Liberal Democratic Party:
John Barrett
Scottish Nationalist Party:
Alyn Smith
Scottish Socialist Party:
William Scott

Incumbent:
Donald Gorrie

97 Result:
Lesley Hinds
8,94818.8%
James Douglas-Hamil
13,32528.0%
Donald Gorrie
20,57843.2%
Graham Sutherland
42108.84%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,63177.91%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
8,96117.4%
19,71538.2%
15,42429.9%
6,47112.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,59883.2%

Demographic Profile:

Employment:
Unemployed8.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.9%
II - Managerial/Technical31.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)28.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)15.8%
IV - Partly Skilled11.2%
V - Unskilled5.4%

Misc:
Own Residence73.6%
Rent Residence26.4%
Submissions
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03/05/01 NG Email:
The decision by the local Lib Dem party to drop Donald Gorrie here in Edinburgh West was no doubt a strategic one. They probably want to get in a new, younger person while they are reasonably far ahead of the Tories here - which is a shame since it means the loss of one of Westminster's most able MPs. While the Lib Dems do not have a strong record of hanging onto seats once incumbents retire, a 7,000 majority in 1997 and a reasonably comfortable hold here in the 1999 Scottish Elections should ensure that the Lib Dem tenure in Edinburgh West lasts through the next parliament.
12/05/01 NS Email:Starling@nejs.fsworld.co.uk
Donald Gorrie was not "dropped". he announce his intention to stand down after being elected as an MSP. I think the Lib Dems will hold this seat. They have a strong local government base and won this seat in the Scottish elections.

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Last Updated 14 May 2001
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