Election Profile:
Candidates:
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Labour Party: David J. Stewart |
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Conservative Party: Richard W.A.H. Jenkins |
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Liberal Democratic Party: Patsy Kenton |
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Scottish Nationalist Party: Angus B. MacNeil |
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Scottish Socialist Party: Steven Arnott |
Incumbent: |
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David Stewart |
97 Result: |
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David Stewart
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Mary Scanlon
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Stephen Gallagher
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Fergus Ewing
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Total Vote Count / Turnout |
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92 Result: (Redistributed) |
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Total Vote Count / Turnout |
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Demographic Profile:
Employment: |
Unemployed | 8.3% |
Household SEG: |
I - Professional | 3.6% |
II - Managerial/Technical | 28.1% |
III - Skilled (non-manual) | 20.3% |
IIIM - Skilled (manual) | 22.1% |
IV - Partly Skilled | 15.3% |
V - Unskilled | 8.1% |
Misc: |
Own Residence | 60.0% |
Rent Residence | 40.1% |
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Submissions
Submit Information here
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15/05/01 |
JL |
Email: |
This is an exceptionally interesting constituency, with all four parties polling well in '97. I would expect the SNP to win here, however. The former LibDem MP up to '97 held the seat on a huge personal vote, as was demonstrated when he retired. I strongly suspect there will be a further collapse in the LibDem vote this time, with many switching to the SNP.They will then become the fourth party to hold the seat since 1964. |
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27/05/01 |
Liam |
Email: |
Nats to win this also. It will be close fought but a growth in Nat support in Scotland and to greater extent Wales will see some interesting gains |
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30/05/01 |
A.S. |
Email:adma@interlog.com |
Sir Russell Johnston's personal vote wasn't exactly huge by the time 1992 rolled along; in fact, he would have gone the way of Geraint Howells if it wasn't for what might have been the most extraordinary election result of the c20--a *four* way marginal, with less than 4 percentage points separating 4 parties! (And thus 1997 presented constituents with a different, if more illusionary, kind of extraordinary--the only seat where Labour vaulted from fourth place to first.) Under this circumstance, keep in mind as well that SNP's got a fairly shallow base to build upon--even in its Scottish parliamentary victory of 1999, it fell short of a third of a vote... |
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30/05/01 |
Colin Forth |
Email: |
Yes, the SNP won it in the Scottish Parliament elections. But polling shows the SNP support is higher for Holyrood than for Westminster. If that bump returns the SNP will not achieve enough to remove David Stewart. This must be Labour's most vulnerable seat in Scotland. The opinion polls are consistent with the last election (alhtough both overstate Labour's position). There is no evidence of a SNP surge here or anywhere else in Scotland. |
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03/06/01 |
A Jeffrey |
Email: |
Unofficial Poll - Sunday 3rd June 2001 Labour - 34% SNP - 31% Lib Dem - 16% Conservative - 14% Other - 5% Labour Likely to Hold seat with reduced majority - saved only by strong David Stewart personal vote. |
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