Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Dover

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Gwynfor M. Prosser
Conservative Party:
Paul K. Watkins
Liberal Democratic Party:
Anthony Hook

Incumbent:
Gwyn Prosser

97 Result:
Gwyn Prosser
29,53554.5%
David Shaw
17,79632.8%
Mark Corney
4,3027.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,20078.93%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
24,58342.6%
25,44344.1%
6,23410.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,68282.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.6%
16-2411.9%
25-3920.7%
40-6526.5%
65 <21.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.1%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time64.6%
Part Time15.5%
Self Employed10.6%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed8.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.2%
II - Managerial/Technical27.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)28.1%
IV - Partly Skilled17.7%
V - Unskilled5.6%

Misc:
Own Residence71.0%
Rent Residence26.4%
Own Car(s)66.8%
Submissions
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21/04/01 JR Email:
A key marginal seat that normally goes with the national tide, so should stay Labour. However the asylum seeker issue is big in this major port - the Tories on the local Kent County Council made national headlines when they blamed asylum seekers after they jacked up the Council Tax. With the Tories unashamedly playing the race card it could be a close call, I wouldn't envisage another 12000 Labour majority.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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