Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
East Surrey

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Joanne Tanner
Conservative Party:
Peter M. Ainsworth
Liberal Democratic Party:
Jeremy Pursehouse
UK Independence Party:
Anthony Stone

Incumbent:
Peter Ainsworth

97 Result:
David Ross
11,57321.2%
Peter Ainsworth
27,38950.1%
Belinda Ford
12,29622.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,65675.02%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
6,13510.5%
35,67661.1%
15,70426.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
58,43481.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.1%
16-2411.8%
25-3921.1%
40-6529.4%
65 <18.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.1%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani0.6%
Other non-white1.0%

Employment:
Full Time64.5%
Part Time15.3%
Self Employed14.3%
Government Schemes0.6%
Unemployed5.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.9%
II - Managerial/Technical42.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)20.6%
IV - Partly Skilled8.5%
V - Unskilled2.8%

Misc:
Own Residence78.5%
Rent Residence19.0%
Own Car(s)83.3%
Submissions
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05/05/01 LB Email:
A safe Conservative seat in the heart of the wealthy commuter area south of London - 'stockbroker belt'. The Conservatives got over 50% in 1997 and for the seat to fall they would have to do much worse and the evenly split Labour and LD vote line up behind one candidate. No chance.

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Last Updated 7 May 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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