Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Eastbourne

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Gillian M. Roles
Conservative Party:
Nigel C. Waterson
Liberal Democratic Party:
Christopher J. Berry
UK Independence Party:
Paul Godfrey

Incumbent:
Nigel Waterson

97 Result:
David Lines
6,57612.5%
Nigel Waterson
22,18342.1%
Chris Berry
20,18938.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,66772.80%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
2,6974.7%
30,54853.0%
23,73941.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,62781.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1615.7%
16-2410.4%
25-3917.4%
40-6523.7%
65 <32.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.3%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani0.5%
Other non-white1.0%

Employment:
Full Time58.6%
Part Time17.3%
Self Employed14.9%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed8.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.7%
II - Managerial/Technical31.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)17.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.4%
IV - Partly Skilled12.1%
V - Unskilled5.4%

Misc:
Own Residence73.1%
Rent Residence25.5%
Own Car(s)63.0%
Submissions
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28/04/01 NMF Email:
Eastbourne is a top target seat for the Lib Dems who held the seat between 1990 and 1992. The election will be a close contest between the Lib Dems and the Tories. the key question will be whether enough Labour voters switch to back established local campaigner Chris Berry to oust the Tory incumbent.
02/05/01 Sean Fear Email:fear_sean@hotmail.com
Can't see the Tories losing this one. They won back control of the local council in 2000, and should increase their lead this time.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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