Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Gravesham

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Chris R. Pond
Conservative Party:
Jacques A. Arnold
Liberal Democratic Party:
Bruce R. Parmenter

Incumbent:
Chris Pond

97 Result:
Chris Pond
26,46049.7%
Jacques Arnold
20,68138.8%
Merilyn Canet
4,1287.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,25376.92%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,66340.4%
29,03149.6%
5,2078.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
58,53583.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.7%
16-2413.2%
25-3921.6%
40-6527.7%
65 <16.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White91.6%
Black0.6%
Indian/Pakistani7.0%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time63.5%
Part Time14.7%
Self Employed10.9%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed10.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.2%
II - Managerial/Technical28.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.5%
IV - Partly Skilled13.8%
V - Unskilled4.8%

Misc:
Own Residence70.8%
Rent Residence27.9%
Own Car(s)71.7%
Submissions
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22/04/01 NG Email:
Gravesham has long been a key marginal and, more remarkably, it has shown a knack for choosing the right winner each time. Since 1918, it has been won by the party which has gone on to form the government, on all bar two occasions. Labour are still strong locally and with their current opinion poll ratings will almost certainly hold Gravesham this time round. If not, the seat might just lose its well-earned status as Englands bellwether seat and turn a few Labour hairs grey ...

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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