Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Medway

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Robert G. Marshall-Andrews
Conservative Party:
Mark Reckless
Liberal Democratic Party:
Geoffrey Juby
UK Independence Party:
Nicola Sinclaire

Incumbent:
Robert Marshall-Andrews QC

97 Result:
Robert Marshall-Andr
21,85848.9%
Peggy Fenner
16,50436.9%
Roger Roberts
4,55510.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
44,74272.47%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
17,13734.6%
25,92452.3%
4,7519.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,52679.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.1%
16-2413.4%
25-3923.0%
40-6526.6%
65 <15.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White95.4%
Black0.6%
Indian/Pakistani3.3%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time65.5%
Part Time13.2%
Self Employed10.9%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed9.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.4%
II - Managerial/Technical25.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)33.9%
IV - Partly Skilled15.3%
V - Unskilled5.0%

Misc:
Own Residence74.8%
Rent Residence23.0%
Own Car(s)72.2%
Submissions
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17/05/01 J Smith Email:
Labour's win here last time was decisive. They should be able to win this seat again.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Given the talk about asylum giving Tories their best legs in Kent, and a fine chance of regaining Thanet South at the very least, one wonders what'll happen in that fine and surprising little Medway-conurbation Labour cluster that's developed. But Medway itself, as the only one of them that went Labour non-marginal in 1997, looks like the most likely to stay put.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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