Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
New Forest West

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Crada N. Onuegbu
Conservative Party:
Desmond A. Swayne
Liberal Democratic Party:
Michael Bignell
UK Independence Party:
Jill Clark

Incumbent:
Desmond Swayne

97 Result:
Dave Griffiths
7,09214.3%
Desmond Swayne
25,14950.6%
Bob Hale
13,81727.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,75074.79%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
4,1798.2%
30,98260.7%
15,58330.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,03779.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1616.0%
16-249.6%
25-3916.2%
40-6526.6%
65 <31.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.5%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time54.8%
Part Time18.6%
Self Employed19.2%
Government Schemes0.6%
Unemployed6.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.2%
II - Managerial/Technical37.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.1%
IV - Partly Skilled11.3%
V - Unskilled4.1%

Misc:
Own Residence80.8%
Rent Residence17.0%
Own Car(s)80.0%
Submissions
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15/05/01 NG Email:
Even in the disastrous 1997 election, the Tories held on here with just over half the vote. Even in the party's worst nightmares (ie. large numbers of Labour voters switch tactically to the Lib Dems), this simply won't be enough to dislodge the Conservatives.

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Last Updated 17 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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