Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Wealden

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Kathy Fordham
Conservative Party:
Charles Hendry
Liberal Democratic Party:
Steve Murphy
Green Party:
Julian Salmon
UK Independence Party:
Keith Riddle

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Sir Geoffrey Johnson Smith DL

97 Result:
Nicholas Levine
10,18517.2%
Geoffrey Johnson-Smith
29,41749.8%
Mike Skinner
15,21325.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,09974.32%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
5,5789.2%
37,25661.7%
16,32827.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
60,34681.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.2%
16-2411.2%
25-3919.1%
40-6528.6%
65 <20.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.1%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.5%

Employment:
Full Time57.6%
Part Time17.3%
Self Employed19.5%
Government Schemes0.5%
Unemployed5.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.6%
II - Managerial/Technical43.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)20.5%
IV - Partly Skilled9.7%
V - Unskilled3.5%

Misc:
Own Residence81.5%
Rent Residence15.7%
Own Car(s)83.6%
Submissions
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17/05/01 J Smith Email:
This seat will be won by the stronger candidate. If the Conservative Party has put up a strong candidate, its theirs. However, if a weak candidate is standing for the Tories, they could very well lose. Interesting to watch, but it is the Conservative's seat to lose.

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Last Updated 20 May 2001
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