Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Cheltenham

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Andrew B. Erlam
Conservative Party:
Robert Garnham
Liberal Democratic Party:
Nigel D. Jones
Green Party:
Keith Bessant
UK Independence Party:
James B. Carver
Monster Raving Loony Party:
Kenneth Hanks

Incumbent:
Nigel Jones

97 Result:
Barry Leach
5,10010.1%
John Todman
18,23236.2%
Nigel Jones
24,87749.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,30374.03%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
3,7696.7%
24,86144.2%
26,80847.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,29681.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.2%
16-2413.3%
25-3922.4%
40-6524.8%
65 <21.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.1%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani1.0%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time66.0%
Part Time15.1%
Self Employed10.2%
Government Schemes0.7%
Unemployed7.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.4%
II - Managerial/Technical34.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)18.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)20.2%
IV - Partly Skilled13.0%
V - Unskilled4.1%

Misc:
Own Residence69.6%
Rent Residence29.1%
Own Car(s)69.4%
Submissions
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18/04/01 NG Email:
Popular locally and with a reasonably comfortable majority (not to mention a certain sympathy vote following the horrific knife attack on him last year), it should be a pretty straight-forward hold for Nigel Jones on June 7th.

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Last Updated 18 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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