Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Cotswold

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Richard L. Wilkins
Conservative Party:
Geoffrey R. Clifton-Brown
Liberal Democratic Party:
Angela Lawrence

Incumbent:
Geoffrey Clifton-Brown

97 Result:
David Wllwell
11,60822.7%
Geoffrey Clifton-Br
23,69846.4%
David Gayler
11,73323.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,12175.92%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
5,69710.9%
28,49654.4%
17,47933.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,39482.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.6%
16-2411.2%
25-3919.5%
40-6528.0%
65 <22.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.2%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time58.5%
Part Time16.9%
Self Employed18.3%
Government Schemes0.7%
Unemployed5.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional9.6%
II - Managerial/Technical37.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)9.9%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)21.7%
IV - Partly Skilled14.2%
V - Unskilled4.4%

Misc:
Own Residence65.8%
Rent Residence27.6%
Own Car(s)80.5%
Submissions
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23/04/01 NG Email:
The Lib Dems should have given the Tories a bit of a run for their money here in 1997 but as in a number of such seats, Labour came from almost nowhere to almost steal second place from the Lib Dems. Unless there is a big tactical switch back from Labour to the Lib Dems this time round (or vice versa), the Tories are unlikely to be unseated here.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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