Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Wansdyke

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Dan Norris
Conservative Party:
Chris Watt
Liberal Democratic Party:
Gail Coleshill
Green Party:
Francis Hayden

Incumbent:
Dan Norris

97 Result:
Dan Norris
24,11744.1%
Mark Prisk
19,31835.3%
Jeff Manning
9,20516.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,72279.27%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
16,08227.3%
27,85247.2%
13,92123.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,00585.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.7%
16-2412.0%
25-3920.5%
40-6529.3%
65 <18.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.4%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time62.2%
Part Time17.9%
Self Employed13.8%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed5.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.6%
II - Managerial/Technical33.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.9%
IV - Partly Skilled10.5%
V - Unskilled3.7%

Misc:
Own Residence80.8%
Rent Residence17.7%
Own Car(s)82.7%
Submissions
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17/05/01 J Smith Email:
Another seat which should stay with Labour. They won this seat by a fair number of votes. Though some Conservative and Liberal Democrats will leave Labour to vote for their previous party, this seat will stay Labour.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Given the demographics and prior electoral profile of Wansdyke, this was a real Labour surprise. So, I'm hedging, even though Labour momentum's giving me reason not to hedge.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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