Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Weston-Super-Mare

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Derek Kraft
Conservative Party:
John D. Penrose
Liberal Democratic Party:
Brian K. Cotter

Incumbent:
Brian Cotter

97 Result:
Derek Kraft
9,55717.9%
Margaret Daly
20,13337.7%
Brian Cotter
21,40740.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,37773.68%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
6,42011.4%
27,06348.1%
21,69138.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,30579.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.2%
16-2412.1%
25-3918.7%
40-6526.2%
65 <24.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.2%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.5%

Employment:
Full Time60.1%
Part Time17.1%
Self Employed13.4%
Government Schemes1.1%
Unemployed8.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.4%
II - Managerial/Technical33.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)28.9%
IV - Partly Skilled10.5%
V - Unskilled3.9%

Misc:
Own Residence75.3%
Rent Residence22.8%
Own Car(s)71.7%
Submissions
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23/04/01 NG Email:
Brian Cotter will have a tough fight on his hands to hold Weston-Super-Mare, one of the many seaside resorts that swung quite violently against the Tories in 1997. He will largely depend on tactical Labour voting to keep him in place but it's going to be a very close result.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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