Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Llanelli

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Rt. Hon. D.J. Denzil Davies
Conservative Party:
Simon A. Hayes
Liberal Democratic Party:
Kenneth Rees
Plaid Cymru:
Dyfan Jones

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Denzil Davies

97 Result:
Denzil Davies
23,85157.9%
Andrew Hayes
5,00312.1%
Nick Burree
3,7889.2%
Marc Phillips
781218.96%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
41,21170.66%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,12254.5%
7,85117.0%
5,88412.8%
7,25315.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
46,11077.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.3%
16-2411.3%
25-3919.1%
40-6527.0%
65 <23.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.5%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.2%

Employment:
Full Time60.1%
Part Time15.0%
Self Employed10.8%
Government Schemes2.7%
Unemployed11.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.9%
II - Managerial/Technical24.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)32.4%
IV - Partly Skilled18.4%
V - Unskilled5.4%

Misc:
Own Residence72.6%
Rent Residence26.4%
Own Car(s)64.5%
Submissions
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22/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Denzil Davies is eternal here, much as John Morris was in Aberavon. Otherwise, this has been latently the closest thing to an urban/industrial Plaid Cymru stronghold (at least until the '99 Assembly elections opened up all those PC air pockets in traditional coal-mining Labour fiefdoms like Rhondda). Whenever Davies no longer stands, this bears watching...
23/05/01 Disraeli Email:
With large majorities in 1992 and 1997, this constituency is likely to remain resoundly Labour.
27/05/01 Liam Email:
Dont be so sure! This will be (along with Rhondda) a high-profile PC gain. Radical agenda which some seem to think is new but it is not at all and a new less-Cymraeg approach to nationalism

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Last Updated 28 May 2001
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