Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Leeds East

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
George E. Mudie
Conservative Party:
Barry Anderson
Liberal Democratic Party:
Brian Jennings
UK Independence Party:
Raymond Northgreaves

Incumbent:
George Mudie

97 Result:
George Mudie
24,15167.5%
John Emsley
6,68518.7%
Madeleine Kirk
3,68910.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
35,79262.83%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
24,92957.7%
12,23228.3%
6,04014.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,20169.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.7%
16-2413.8%
25-3921.5%
40-6523.9%
65 <18.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White90.6%
Black2.4%
Indian/Pakistani5.6%
Other non-white1.3%

Employment:
Full Time60.6%
Part Time16.2%
Self Employed7.0%
Government Schemes1.9%
Unemployed14.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.5%
II - Managerial/Technical20.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)32.6%
IV - Partly Skilled14.8%
V - Unskilled7.6%

Misc:
Own Residence51.7%
Rent Residence47.2%
Own Car(s)48.0%
Submissions
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24/04/01 NG Email:
With an 18,000 majority, it would take an electoral earthquake to unseat Labour here, certainly this time round. However, it will be interesting to see who wins second place here. The Lib Dems will be in a reasonably strong position, capitalising on their strong showing in the Leeds Central by-election and the general trend towards them in Northern cities like Sheffield, Newcastle and Liverpool. However, the Tories are probably still strong enough in parts of Leeds to fight off the Liberal challenge. All the same an interesting match in an otherwise safe Labour seat.

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Last Updated 24 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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